Franke Schein is a author of several books and a freelance journalist whose articles have appeared in newspapers and magazines across the world. He writes from a street level perspective with a unique insight and style across a wide range of subjects. His articles appear on several websites in many different countries.
Showing posts with label Provoking Thought. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Provoking Thought. Show all posts
Thursday, April 11, 2013
Dark Fires Rage:
Dark Fires Rage:
By Franke Schein
Lonely is my heart
A dark and empty place
Where no longer Can I feel
Your loving embrace.
A prisoner to my pain
Where dark fires rage
Shackled to memories
Of love's velvet cage.
Existing on the edge
Where the sun doesn't shine
Haunted by the memories
Locked into our time.
Remembering your eyes
The taste of your skin
The sounds of ecstasy
That made my head spin.
An emotional destruction
Reaching deep into my dreams
A slow motion movie
Replaying the same scenes.
So I'll go through my days
Try to get through the night
Wearing Chains that bind me
And lock my heart tight...
Existence's Solitude:
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Existence's Solitude:
By Franke Schein
www.frankeschein.com
I am just a solitary man living inside my own world. Just another stranger, In a world full of blank eyes staring at you from the Edges of your reality.
...
I don't exist in your world until an intersection of our lives occur.
A moment in both of our lives whereupon, that which has kept us apart, brings us together.
On that moment, perhaps your eyes will experience something vaguely familiar, and pleasing,
almost like finding that long lost earring. A sense that you know me, or want to know me.
Perhaps in that moment you will draw courage to hold your eyes against mine just a little longer than usual,
allowing the subtly of the moment to creat a small rift in the confines of time itself, to charge the air around us with energized opportunity to erase our disconnection, and begin a friendship which blossoms beyond both of our wildest expectations.
You see; Oftentimes you have felt a piercing stare from across the room; turning your head to seek out the source, you found a crowded room of strangers, and the experience left you insensitive to love's simple caress. The gentle reminder that nothing happens by pure chance in our lives, for every moment of your life's path had been laid down since the moment of your birth.
Our creator made perfect this world. He gave us togetherness instead of singularity of existence. A perfect mate to fulfill his grand design. The one, With which a communion of heart, mind, and spirit was possible.
Yet throughout your life you accepted the invalidating premise of perfection's concept; laying wasted his perfect partner to complete the circle of your life, and consequently my life as well.
Thus creating the incongruity leaving two people suffering amid the emptiness of unrealized longing. Both residents of an imbalanced world of question filled eyes.
But today, on this exact moment you will begin to feel a small change. So small, as a matter of fact, that at first you will dismiss its tingling sensation as yet another fallacy creeping through your self absorbed illusion of intimacy.
But your heart will not allow you to easily forget this lesson today. Because to forget, is to deny your own purpose of existence.
Already I can sense that your eyes see a little beyond what they did a minute ago. That you are using all of your given senses to reach out beyond the narrowness of your life, to see that which you have forgotten; and perhaps your eyes will find mine, to erase the existence's solitude from my life without you.
Photo Credit: Elsha Hales
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LiveJournal Tags: Franke,Franke Schein,Love's Eternity,Romantic Poetry,Solitude,Relationship,Soulmate,Love,Romance,Poetic Muse
Saturday, November 17, 2012
POLICE STATE: America 2012
You better NOT sit this one out folks: It will be your last chance to retain your gin ownership rights.
Thursday, September 13, 2012
The Road Home: Chapter 1–Part 2
The Road Home - Chapter One Part 2
By Franke Schein
Copyright 2012 Franke Schein
All Rights Reserved
Chapter One Part 1 Can be Found Here: http://frankeschein.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-road-home-chapter-1.html#!/2012/09/the-road-home-chapter-1.html
Manhattan, New York
The earth shook with an unimaginable intensity; collapsing even the most strongest and well-built structures. Immense skyscrapers, a monument to mankind’s engineering, toppled in just seconds. Never before in recorded history had the world witnessed firsthand the devastating effects of a 17 point earthquake. But not just one single quake, hundreds of quakes per hour. Their rumblings and shaking merging together to create a never ending roar which drowned out all other sounds.
Sounds such as the screaming of those injured, the death cries as victims met their fate, and the groan of buildings collapsing under the extreme shaking, ripping everything apart.
All across the great city, earthquake swarms destroyed in mere seconds, that which man had built throughout the generations. Bridges, roads, tunnels; none were spared from the massive mega-earthquakes. Fires quickly spread as gas mains erupted under the streets; adding to the cacophony of destruction came the giant toxic gas clouds as chemical plants exploded, to spew their deadly compounds into the already noxious air.
The quakes lasted but a mere forty two minutes; but in its wake of destruction, little remained that resembled The Big Apple. Debris litter every road. Not one single bridge or over-head walkway remained upright. Street lights slewed across cars, crushed people lay all about the streets. Roaring fires dominated the landscape, and the wind carried the stench of death out across the swelling seas.
Those survivors who managed to keep alive, were stunned to hear the fury of the wind increasing to a howling roar. Wind rushing out from across the ocean blasted headlong into the once sprawling city. Increasing in intensity, the wind storm reached its peak at 350 miles per hour. Hurdling shards of glass, steel, concrete, and even mangled cars against the already battered survivors.
Bethany Wills screamed in utter fear. She’d barely managed to escape the tenement house as the earthquakes tore the neighborhood apart piece by piece. Behind her, the mangled remains of her parents and brothers remained under the massive rubble pile that had been her childhood home. She didn’t even have time to cry, before the mega-hurricane force winds assailed everything in its path.
Barley managing to crawl into a drainage tunnel, she heard the screams as the furious wind plucked injured victims right off the street, smashing them against rubble piles. Their screams quickly drown out by the vulgar roar of the horrendous wind.
Covering her ears with both hands, she screamed in sheer fear. Her right shoe sucked right off her foot, threatening to jerk her out of the small cramped drainage tunnel. She willed herself to crawl on her belly, deeper into the surrounding darkness. Her hands and knees bleeding from the many cuts; but her fear urging her deeper into the labyrinth of claustrophobic darkness.
The mega-hurricane winds blasted itself for several hours against the remains of the largest and most populated city in the world. Millions had perished in less than one hour; and as the fierce winds subsided; the smell of salt air arose. The tiniest trickle of water against the heaps of rubble, soon turned into a torrent as water quickly inundated across the now dead city of New York.
Sunday, September 9, 2012
Tuesday, May 1, 2012
Sustainability
Okay, lets explore something that should be on everyone’s mind:
A massive Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) just swept the planet’s electrical grid.
- Power Grid is down
- Car stop running
- Computers are totally fried
- Cell phones are burnt out
- Television is a thing of the past
- Airline travel is restricted to the government
- The government has seized control of all grocery distribution centers
- Armed guards/national guard are positioned at every grocery store
- Martial law has been declared on a National level
- Firearms are outlawed
- Farm based agricultural industries receive the highest priority as critical infrastructure realignment
- Schools are temporarily suspended
- Gas stations are off-limits, and guarded
IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE ELECTRICAL GRID IN YOUR AREA WILL BE DOWN FOR AT LEAST 1-YEAR
Examine this scenario in depth, and determine how you and yours will survive during the next twelve months.
How long will your current food supply last until it runs out?
How will you purchase supplies when your stockpile starts to erode?
What method will you utilize to insure a steady food supply exists?
Saturday, March 31, 2012
RISK ANALYSIS & MITIGATION SUMMARY: The Soviet Threat To Alaska
THE ALASKA WATCHMEN GROUP
RISK ANALYSIS & MITIGATION SUMMARY
The Soviet Threat To Alaska
SYNOPSIS:
Given the historical and existing current assumptions, as well as strategies involving the Soviet's Cold War era aspiration of Alaska; to wit, it's abundant natural resources, as well as Alaska's strategic location within the northern hemisphere; a thorough analysis of this prevalent threat is therefore required in order to arrive within a the framework of a predicated response which mitigates the omnipresent threat thereof.
Assumption #1:
Current global situations across the theater provide both a realistic, as well as favorable environment for an unprecedented incursion by the Soviet military apparatus into mainland Alaska territories.
The Russian geopolitical and economic situation(s) have reached a critical stage. Widespread dissatisfaction of Vladimir Putin's domestic and foreign polices has given rise to street level protests, some of which have turned deadly.
The primary hub of the Soviet Politburo has always been focused upon their maintaining the status quo within their organizational composition. Dissatisfaction has been historically dealt with at the extreme levels, or by carefully orchestrated deflection of the domestic issues through foreign interventionism; as was the case in the 1979 Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.
Assumption #2:
America and its NATO allies, as well as coalition partners, are presently involved within the scope of several multilevel regional conflict(s) which are quickly and disproportionately draining America's strategic reserves, both in the terms of resources and manpower, as well as public opinion.
Assumption #3:
Japan has recently fulfilled a multi-level commerce agreement with its arch-enemy The People's Republic of China. A deal that is viewed by the west as unprecedented, and gives potential for what many believed are a shift in the balance of power among Pan-Asian countries.
Japan is wholly reliant upon America and NATO for its defense, notwithstanding the empire's self-defense forces which are wholly inadequate in dealing with anything more than a local insurrection, or short-term conflicts within its own domicile.
Assumption #4:
The People's Republic of China has repeatedly warned America and NATO allies that interference with its domestic polices regarding Taiwan would harbor consequences. This is evidenced by the increasingly hostile attitude within the military stratocracy, and its aspiration for dominance within the Pan-Asian region; an area that China claims as sovereign territory--including Japan, the Philippines, Thailand, and other Pacific island within the circle of influence.
China's rapid military build-up, and the rearmament of the military services has grown exponentially over the last decade. Its current stockpile of short-range, and medium range missile, as well as its blue water naval capabilities, and strategic air assets; indicate a quiet reaffirmation of its foreign adventurism polices within the region.
Nuclear capabilities, as well as long-range delivery methods have likewise increased, as well as stealth fighter capabilities.
Assumption #5:
North Koreas continual tirade against its neighbors to the south, and threats of global nuclear conflicts have risen sharply since the demise of its former leader. North Korea's military governance has become increasingly hostile toward outsiders.
The primary supplier of weapons, armaments, and munitions to the North Korean military remains unchanged--China and Russia.
Assumption #6:
Given the volatile nature, as well as unpredictable tendencies of global economies, and the increasing shift in Asian attitudes towards the west; it should not surprise America and NATO when The People's Republic of China asserts its power against Taiwan through military force.
Intervention by America would create an immediate regional threat which has the capability to migrate into a global event. China's avowed partners include the Soviet Union, Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and other Asian states.
American intercession would open the doors for other state players to enter the dispute; thereby creating opportunistic scenarios for the Soviet Union to fulfill its longstanding initiatives for the reacquisition of its former Alaskan territories.
Strategic Outlook:
Alaska is entirely dependent upon rail, maritime, roadway, and air transport of critical consumer, as well as defense inventories. Any minor disruption of these critical transportation system could create severe consequences for Alaska residents, as well as its military presence.
Within the scope of Alaska's territorial boundaries, certain geographic elements preclude rapid evacuation from affected areas. The ocean and mountainous barriers, as well as weather patterns create unfavorable conditions for a in-depth defensive stratagems. Given the technological advances, and weapons capability of the opponents, the Alaska military presence could offer but token resistance; much akin to the American strategic withdrawal into Seoul during the Korean conflict.
Alaska has little or no naval capability, and limited air capabilities. Given the Soviet invasion doctrine, the rapid development and employment of surface-to-air measures would greatly affect Alaska's air assets. The introduction of the SU-3000 missile system, as well as other delivery systems, likewise preclude air interdiction operations from within Canadian resources.
Soviet doctrines indicate a massed envelopment of the key facilities such as airfields, naval ports, commerce centers, as well as road junctures. Paratroop regiments and Spetnaz (Special Forces) could conceivably limit or restrict movement into or around denied areas; thereby creating static denial areas which preclude rapid facilitation of movement throughout the area; thereby limiting Alaskan mobility and/or tactical response(s).
Soviet naval transport forces, as well as air transportation capability would likely be utilized throughout Alaska, in an effort to secure key facilities. Within hours, the Soviets could transport several combat divisions into the areas already under their control.
It is theoretical that within three days, given the limited response capability within Alaska's military forces, that the Soviet Union could predictably occupy much of Alaska's cities, and other key strategic areas. It is without doubt that a "Denial of Opportunity" strategies employed by the Soviet forces could prevent rapid facilitation of reinforcements through Canada, or by sea lanes.
The proximity of Alaska to the Soviet Union, provides adequate defense in depth capabilities, as well as movement of critical supplies and additional follow-up forces.
Risk Mitigation & Response Strategies:
Understanding the geographical nature of Alaska, and its dependence upon outside resources, the military forces stationed within Alaska would be fighting on an asymmetrical forum. The defense would almost have to consists of delaying actions until reinforcements from other commands could arrive.
Given the current limited heavy armor, mechanized, and artillery disposition within the state's military organizational structures; it would be reasonable to assume an immediate, and potentially fatal assailment by Soviet military forces against these particular units.
Perhaps; in less than 72-hours the military presence in Alaska could be reduced to token levels of military resistance, if not a total capitulation of its forces into Soviet hands, as was the case during the Second World War Corregidor battles, whereby 30,000 combat troops surrendered to the Japanese forces due to lack of critical resources and reinforcement capabilities within the theater.
Key Response Strategies:
1. How would the Alaska State Guard be implemented in order to support Alaska's military forces?
2. Could a rapid draft of civilian citizens be mandated that would allow a swift integration into the overall defense of vital cities and/or population centers?
3. Are there sufficient military munitions inventories stockpiled in order to sustain multi-level protracted defensive actions?
4. Is it possible for Alaska to garrison adequate surface naval forces, as well as submarine capabilities to offset "denial of area" strategies utilized by a Soviet invasion?
5. What programs are currently active to protect vital government facilities, as well as civilian population centers?
6. Does Alaska maintain sufficient medical facilities, triage centers, and first echelon treatment capability to handle casualty rates of this nature?
ALASKA WATCHMEN GROUP
ADDENDUM TO RISK ANALYSIS & MITIGATION SUMMARY
Soviet Military Forces Disposition:
The Soviet military forces responsible for defense of the eastern region of the Soviet Union falls upon the Far Eastern Military District; a Red Banner Group commanded by Colonel-General O.L. Salyukov who assumed command in 2009.
The Far Eastern Military Districts is comprised of the following units:
14th Separate Brigade of Special Designation (Spetsnaz)
The 5th Army
The 35th Army,
HQ 68th Corps
Four Motor Rifle Divisions,
Four Machine-Gun/Artillery Divisions
83rd Airborne Brigade (With an incorporated light tank battalion)
635/654 and/or 954/598 Separate Airborne Battalions
Guards artillery battalion, and support units.
Ten units in the DVVO are now manned by contract servicemen.
Naval Forces Disposition:
Eastern Military District - Eastern Joint Strategic Command Pacific Fleet:
(1) Slava class cruiser
(1) Sovremennyy class destroyer
(4) Udaloy class destroyer
(3) Delta III class submarine
)2) Oscar class submarine
(5) Akula class submarine
(7) Kilo class submarine
The Pacific Fleet also includes coastal combatants such as corvettes and patrol ships, mine warfare vessels, support and logistic ships and light amphibious ships.
Naval Infantry:
9 motor-rifle brigades
1 tank brigade
1 Russian Airborne Troops brigade
1 Naval Infantry Brigade
7 bases for storage of weapons and equipment
Historical precedents accomplished by the Far Eastern Military District:
On August 20 Georgy Zhukov opened a major offensive with heavy air attack and three hours of artillery bombardment, after which three infantry divisions and five armoured brigades, supported by a fighter regiment and masses of artillery (57 thousand troops in total), stormed the 75,000 Japanese force deeply entrenched in the area. On August 23 the entire Japanese force found itself encircled, and on August 31 largely destroyed. Artillery and air attacks wiped out those Japanese who refused to surrender. Japan requested a cease-fire, and the conflict concluded with an agreement between the USSR, Mongolia and Japan signed on September 15 in Moscow. In the conflict, the Red Army losses were 9,703 killed in action (KIA) and missing in action (MIA) and 15,952 wounded. The Japanese lost 25,000 KIA; the grand total was 61,000 killed, missing, wounded and taken prisoner.
Shortly after the cease-fire, the Japanese negotiated access to the battlefields to collect their dead. Finding thousands upon thousands of dead bodies came as a further shock to the already shaken morale of the Japanese soldiers. The scale of the defeat probably became a major factor in discouraging a Japanese attack on the USSR during World War II, which allowed the Red Army to switch a large number of its Far Eastern troops into the European Theatre in the desperate autumn of 1941.
Summary of military units currently operating within the Far Eastern Military District:
Order of the Red Star Far Eastern Military District 2010:
Combat formations:
5th Army, in Ussuriysk
57th Guards Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade "Krasnodar"
59th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade, in Sergeyevka equipped with BMP
60th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade, in Kamen-Rybolov equipped with BMP
70th Guards Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade "Dukhovshchino-Khinganskaya", in Barabash equipped with MT-LBV
237th Reserve Base (89th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Bikin
245th Reserve Base (93rd Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Lesozavodsk
247th Reserve Base (94th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Sibirtsevo
35th Army, in Belogorsk
38th Guards Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade, in Yekaterinoslavka equipped with BMP
64th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade, in Khabarovsk equipped with BMP
69th Independent Brigade "Svir-Pomerania", in Babstovo
240th Reserve Base (90th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Belogorsk
243rd Reserve Base (92nd Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Khabarovsk
261st Reserve Base (95th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Mokhovaya Pad
18th Machine Gun-Artillery Division, in Goryachie Klyuchi
46th Machine Gun-Artillery Regiment
49th Machine Gun-Artillery Regiment
14th Independent Spetsnaz Brigade, in Ussuriysk
39th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade, in Khomutovo equipped with MT-LBV
83rd Independent Airborne Brigade, in Ussuriysk
230th Reserve Base (88th Independent Motor-Rifle Brigade), in Dachnoye
392nd District Training Center, in Knyaze-Volkonskoye
Missile and Artillery formations:
20th Guards Missile Brigade "Berlin", in Spassk-Dalny
107th Missile Brigade "Mozir", in Birobidzhan
165th Artillery Brigade "Prague", in Nikolskoye
305th Artillery Brigade, in Ussuriysk
338th Guards MLRS Brigade "Nevsko-Dvinskaya", Novosisoyevka
7020th Artillery Reserve Base "Kharbin", in Ussuriysk
7021st Artillery Reserve Base, in Nikolskoye
Air-Defense formations:
5th Army
8th Air-Defense Missile Brigade "Shavlinskaya" equipped with the Buk missile system
641st Air-Defense Command Center
35th Army
71st Air-Defense Missile Brigade equipped with the Buk missile system
643rd Air-Defense Command Center
Radar formations:
76th Independent Radio Technical Brigade, in Vyatskoye
94th Independent Radio Technical Battalion, in Ussuriysk (5th Army)
1889th Independent Radio Technical Battalion, in Belogorsk (35th Army)
Engineering formations:
37th Engineer Regiment (35th Army)
58th Engineer Regiment (5th Army)
2463rd Independent Engineer Battalion, in Ussuriysk
7027th Engineer Reserve Base
NBC-Defense formations:
16th Independent NBC-Defense Brigade, in Galkino
70th Independent Flamethrower Battalion, in Razdolnoye
122nd Independent NBC-Defense Battalion, in Ussuriysk (5th Army)
135th Independent NBC-Defense Battalion, in Khabarovsk (35th Army)
Signal formations:
17th Independent Electronic Warfare Brigade
104th (Communications Hub) Signal Brigade "Kluzh", in Khabarovsk
106th (Territorial) Signal Brigade
54th Signal Regiment (35th Army)
86th Signal Regiment (5th Army)
156th Independent (Rear) Signal Battalion
Conclusions:
[ The aforementioned assumptions are derived from my own research; and the following conclusions are likewise derived from my own research. The reader is advised to do his/her own research in order to arrive at their own conclusions. Franke Schein - March 30th 2012 - Anchorage, Alaska)
A quick analysis of the distance separating Alaska from the Russian Peninsula indicates that a mere 65(+/-) miles separates the two countries. 65-Nautical miles is nothing when considering the speed at which modern military formations are capable of producing.
Throughout the context of this document, it is clearly evident that the Far Eastern Military District is comprised of several Army Groups with attached support apparatus, as well as naval forces, and special forces units. The rapid deployment of these units, and their inherent cross-country capability is without doubt substantial in itself.
Unconfirmed analysis also indicates that at least four Hydro boats are deployed in the district, in order to facilitate rapid movement of combat regiments, light armor, and heavy armor units.
The several different airborne units, as well as the air-mobile units are part of the rapid deployment structure common to Soviet Doctrine of Warfare. The augmentation of several air-defense forces at both the Army Group, Divisional, and brigade levels; indicates a rapid response capability which matches the US capabilities in many degrees.
Artillery, chemical, military police, KGB, and other essential units are indigenous to the Military District's Operational structure.
What is concerning are the number of submarines laying just off Alaska's coastal areas; some of which have been updated with modern technologies and weapons delivery systems. It's would be feasible for these submarine forces to deny access to the Bearing Sea, or even the Pacific approaches that could be utilized by the US Naval Forces.
In all; there exists a colossal Soviet military force within quick striking distance of Alaska's shores. Given that the American military presence in Alaska is minimal; should a cross oceanic invasion occur, the Soviets would likely seize large swaths of strategic areas within Alaska, while denying the Alaska military forces movement capability.
I believe that American military force's only option would be to conduct delaying tactics while reinforcements from the lower-48 states could arrive. Much like the obstacles that US/ROK forces faced during the Korean war; would in all likelihood be repeated here in Alaska.
Soviet warfare doctrine has not change much since World War Two. Their advancement in weapons capabilities, as well as war-fighting and signals technology mirrors the achievement of the US. But, their special designation units, as well as advance teams would likely infiltrate into Alaska before the planned invasion. This is evidenced in the Soviets previous cross-border invasions since the 1915 era wars. Afghanistan, Chechnya, Georgia, and other break-away republics were dealt with in the same manner.
Historically the Airborne units, special forces, as well as air-mobile units would be the first echelon formation. Their movement would without doubt, be preceded by a massive air campaign against US Air force assets, as well as a rapid employment of anti-air units to counter any potential attacks by American air assets, and submarine based missile strikes against American artillery units.
Soviet Advance teams could feasible shut down major maritime ports, airfields, and highways leading away from the proposed naval landing areas. Follow-Up forces would include mechanized infantry, light and heavy tanks, as well as mobile rocket launchers and field artillery.
A gradual widening of the area, and pacification of the surrounding civilian areas would then be next on the roster. Pacification is normally carried out through intimidation by a strong show of force, or the outright executions of community leaders, resistance units, and captured military personnel.
Soviet doctrine dictates a rapid envelopment of key objectives, and control of roads, bridges, and government facilities within a 24-hour period. Follow-up forces then bring combined arms units (mechanized Infantry with heavy tank support) against strategic areas. Air defense and field artillery units are an integral parts of this doctrine.
These assumptions and conclusions are based upon an invasion forces seizing a single objective along Alaska's coastline. It's quite possible, and very likely, that several different ports and airfields across Alaska would be seized at the same time. If this is truly the case, then I submit that an asymmetrical war would greatly intensify the conflict beyonf what the Alaska based military is capable of dealing with.
meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=ISO-8859-1">Tuesday, March 6, 2012
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Urban Survival Strategies
SURVIVAL SCENARIO:
- A major crisis event has just erupted within your city.
- News stations are reporting a radiological release has occurred thirty miles away.
- Wind driven highly radioactive particulates are sweeping towards your city.
- The fallout is expected to arrive in less than one hour.
- All roads and highways leading out of the area have quickly become impassible due to traffic-gridlock.
- Bridges leading across major rivers are totally blocked.
- Small localized crime incidents begin to appear sporadically among the fleeing citizens.
- Police are unable to control the flow of traffic, or the escalating crime wave.
- Gasoline prices take a sharp upwards hike—many gas stations are already closed.
Your Personal Situation Is As Follows:
- Your car’s gas tank is registering 1/4-Tank full.
- Cell-Phone service is down due to massive overuse.
- Your child is in school near your home.
- Your spouse is at home.
- You are 25-Miles away at work.
WHAT IS YOUR SURVIVAL PLAN?
Thursday, February 9, 2012
Friday, January 6, 2012
Survival Perspective: Lonewolf Survivalists At Risk
Survival planning necessitates having the ability to grasp the actuality of the threats one is facing in the future. Then through careful analysis of these threats; an affirmative response is established which minimizes the exposure to that risk.
Throughout the years that I have been involved in survivalism, it's been rare to see discussions on internet forums regarding the vulnerability of the lone-survivalist who is facing an organized- heavily armed street gang during a survival situation. As a matter of fact; I can probably count those discussions on one hand.
Street gangs are present in every major metropolitan cities in the US. Even small town USA is home to loosely organized-but nationally affiliated gangs whose reputation and stature among Law Enforcement are well know.
From a historical context, it's easy to see that mankind is one of the cruelest creatures on the planet. The propensity towards violence is always elevated during a crisis. Bad times brings bad people from out of the shadows of society. This is an undeniable fact that cannot be minimized or ignored by the survival community.
In terms of defense against these gangs, the only conceivable defense centers around the "small group" scenario. Small groups stand a much better chance against armed assaults by criminal gangs; depending on the number of assailants, tactical proficiency, and leadership within both groups.
The "Lonewolf Survivalist" will find themselves in a serious life and death situation when confronted by street gangs during a SHTF event. Something as innocent as driving down the wrong street could result in sudden and unexpected violence. Again; historically the Los Angeles riots are living proof of that theory.
Along America’s unprotected southern borders, a series of events have occurred in the last two years that should make every survivalist in that region sit-up straight and take a very hard look at their survival planning. With the recent news blast about the Mexican drug cartels pushing their product through the deserts; and the news of ATF’s firearms debacles; has clouded the real issues on America borders of heavily armed gangs working their way north into the heartland of America. Their not coming to get jobs at fast-food franchises, or pick tomatoes in the farm fields; they are coming to establish their own brand of gang warfare—the spoils are “Gringo Dollars”…
The picture above represent a treasure-trove of military weapons that were interdicted by the Mexican Federal Police. All of the weapons are military grade armaments. Look closely, and its easy to spot the grenades, Motorola radios, ballistic vests, Kevlar helmets; and other equipment that would should have everyone stunned. The weapons cache was discovered right across the border within a stone’s throw of the border.
The media had little to say about this; their politically-correct media experts didn’t want the truth to be known in America. They focused instead on the guns that were flowing south into Mexico—instead of the guns that were seized on the southern borders.
PERSPECTIVE:
- The Asian Triads control the drug manufacturing base in the Asian countries.
- The South American cartels control all the drugs grown in that area. They even have their own military force to insure the safety of their drug manufacturing fields; FARC—the military Arm of the Narco-Drug cartels in South and Central America. A heavily armed paramilitary group that is currently fighting their respective governments.
- Mexico is the distribution base for drugs coming in from around the world. The five major cartels don’t manufacture these drugs—they just move it north into America. The Mexican cartels ONLY job is to insure that their part of the drug distribution network is maintained and the flow of drugs remain uninterrupted.
- The drugs are then sold to criminal enterprises across America. These are the Drug Barons that pump all the drugs onto the streets.
- American street gangs are the ones that actually perform the job of selling it on the streets. The major street gangs, and major biker club,s are the leading edge of the distribution system. The “Point Of Sale” in a long line of criminal organizations dealing in drugs, prostitution, illegal guns, armaments, and munitions.
- Criminal organizations in America already have enough money and power. The only way to insure that they remain in business, and are able to protect themselves from rivalry—is to arm themselves better than the next gang emerging onto the scene.
The likelihood of gang warfare against lonewolf survivalists is exponentially increased as the crisis unfolds. Those survivalist that continue to attempt to maintain their own equilibrium against the odds—will suddenly find themselves out numbered, out gunned, and probably over powered by well armed street gangs and criminal enterprises.
Consider This: Most of America’s Medal Of Honor Winners were presented that award posthumously. I haven’t met a real Rambo yet. It’s doubtful that one man could even begin to comprehend the magnitude of valor that would be needed to face down a dozen machinegun armed thugs slipping down the driveway—and live to talk about it afterwards.
Get to know your neighbors. Forge the alliances that might save your life someday real soon. You absolutely do not have the capacity to do this all by yourself. Get Organized, Get Prepared, Get Trained; and Get Righteous With God…
Here is A Good Place To Start: North American Survival Alliance
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Survival Perspective: Transportation Shut Down
There’s an old saying in the trucking industry; “If You’ve Got It, A Trucker Brought It”.
It’s very easy to stop seeing all of the semi-trucks slowly creeping their way along the roads; simply because there are so many of them. They move slow, block the view, and seem to congregate during rush hours. But what would happen if for some reason the truck-traffic slowed down, or shut-down altogether…
Everything Comes To A Screeching Halt !
Life in America is dependent upon trucking companies hauling consumer good into distribution centers, and retail stores. Without the trucks delivering freight, the grocery store shelves would be bare, the gas stations out of fuel, and America’s manufacturing base would quickly choke to death.
During the 1973 Independent Trucker Strike; the manufacturing base across the country experienced a sudden drop in wholesale revenues as truckers refused to haul freight until they received and equal portion of the revenue generated. Greedy trucking companies offering sub-standard rates, as well as manufactures low-balling the transportation industry, created the conditions which sent these truckers into parking lots, instead of on the roads. The rising cost of diesel fuel was the primary factor leading to the nationwide truckers strike.
The effect was immediate: Grocery stores experienced a sudden reduction in fresh vegetables and produce; beef and other meat product distribution experienced a decline; and all across the country the Trucker Strike was felt at every level in America. Acts of violence broke out; a string of arsons sent many trucks up in smoke. Trucker’s battled each other, and the general public. Anarchy was quickly spreading as the strike gained momentum.
President Jimmy Carter got involved:
I am writing to summarize for you the steps I have taken, or am prepared to take, to assist in assuring that the disruptions by independent truck operators in service is brought to an end. In reaching these decisions, my staff has consulted constantly and closely with the leadership and staff of the National Governors' Association and with individual governors all over the country. The seriousness of the problem facing our nation's economy, if these disruptions continue, cannot be overstated
Read more at the American Presidency Project: Jimmy Carter: Independent Truckers' Strikes Letter to State Governors. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=32527#ixzz1ihJquktX
A national transportation disruption is one survival scenario that cannot be overlooked. Any disruption in the distribution of commodities will have an immediate and dire impact on every person living in the United States.
The Things That Would Disappear The Quickest:
- Fresh Vegetables
- Fresh Fruits
- Fresh Nuts
- Fresh Meat
- Gasoline
- Home Heating Oil
- Propane
- Natural Gas
- Automotive Parts
- Clothing
- Tools
- Wheat, Corn, Soybeans, and other grains
- Textiles used in clothing
Ancillary Effects of A Transportation Disruption:
- Manufacturing plants shutdown
- Retail stores shut down
- Gasoline distribution networks fail
- Airlines forced to cancel domestic services
- School bus transportation services affected
This is just the tip of the iceberg: If America experiences another transportation disruption, the short and long term effects will be almost immediately felt by everyone in the country, and across the globe as well. There are many factors today that can send the transport industry into a state of hyper-parabolic sleep:
- Peak Oil Crisis
- War in the Mideast
- Terrorist Attacks
- Sudden increase of oil prices by OPEC
- National trucker strike
- 2012 Pole Shift Scenarios
I’ve been involved in the trucking industry since 1984. I know first-hand how reliant the world has become upon the American trucker, and those industries depending on the movement of freight across state lines, and across the world.
Look at the boxes below: Seafood from around the world that we enjoy are hauled into port cities everyday.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Follow Up: Survival Planning Before You Die!
In a previous article that I wrote yesterday titled “Startling Facts About Survivalists: You Are Going To Die!” I outlined what I personally believe to be some serious misconceptions about the current survival trends.
Many of the readers that have found the article interesting, asked how it was possible to overcome these issues, and proceed forward utilizing a reality based survival plan.
In another book that I had planned to publish early in 2012; I outline what I believe to be the nexus of survival planning. That doesn’t mean that I am the ultimate authority, or that my plans will work for everyone; but it does mean that these plans will work for me personally, and consequently those people within the rank and file of The Alaska Watchmen Group that have come to rely upon my judgment, and critical thinking in these area.
When I “engage the brain” in these areas, I first set to pen and paper every conceivable threat that I and the group will face. Even the most ludicrous things are written down, at least for the moment.
Each threat is then dissected into it’s inherent sub-threat which may pose a danger or risk.
EXAMPLE:
| PRIMARY EFFECT | SECONDARY EFFECT | RISK ANALYSIS | THREAT OCCURRENCE | MITIGATION | |
| Volcanic Eruption | |||||
| Pyroclastic Flow | Danger Radius | Widespread Fires | Distance | ||
| Immediate Blast Effect | Blast Radius | Buildings Toppled | Distance | ||
| Ash Cloud Dispersion | Time To Arrival | Air Quality Affected | Air Filters | ||
| Earthquake Swarm | Risk Mitigation Effects | SEE EARTHQUAKE EFFECT | EAP Protocols | ||
| Increased Tsunami Event | Risk Mitigation Effects | SEE TSUNAMI EFFECT | EAP Protocols |
EAP is defined as Emergency Action Plans. These plans are designed to mitigate risk or exposure regarding one particular effect. It details the immediate and long-term strategic or tactical plans developed for a certain event. How myself, or the group will respond to that event alone.
Some of these events included the following scenarios:
- Volcanic Eruption
- Tsunami
- Earthquake
- Civil Unrest
- Economic Collapse
- Supply Chain Disruption
- Power Grid Failure
- Communications Failure
- Terrorist Attack
- War Declaration
- Martial Law Declaration
- Medical Pandemic
- Radiological Event
- Biological Event
- Chemical Event
- Meteor Strike
- Coronal Mass Ejection (CME)
Each of the above events results in focusing upon reducing our risk to the event, countering the inherent immediate and long term threats, and developing strategies in dealing with the event with little or no advance warning. As part of the overall strategy; there are four main areas that are taken into consideration when developing the survival plan:
- Planning
- Execution
- Survivability
- Sustainability
Planning Phase:
Planning is defined as determining what the threat is, how it could affect us, and what the event probability is. After having noted all of the sub-effects that we could encounter, each facet of the threat is analyzed for a predicated response on our part. In this area we expand the critical think a little further:
- Historically, in similar such events; has there been advance warning capability that allowed for a timely dissemination of emergency alerts?
- How many times in history has this event occurred?
- What is the probability that this event will occur in the near future?
- What was the single most factor evident that created this event?
- What was the single most factor evident which helped to offset the risk or damage during the event?
- If this event were to occur today, how would we alert the members of its probability, or occurrence?
- Would the members have adequate means to transition into a full-blown evacuation to the Rally Point?
- What factors would contribute to the delay of our evacuation to the Rally Point?
- Are there alternate routes available that would not delay our evacuation to the Rally Point?
- What are the likely risk associated with evacuating to the Rally Point?
- How do we individually, and collectively overcome these risk while moving to the Rally Point.
- Is it possible to Shelter In Place during this event, and under what circumstances is this possible?
- How will ill, or elderly members be evacuated from the affected areas, and who is responsible for their evacuation?
Execution Phase:
Execution comes about after all of these question, and other question involving the threats, have been analysis in much detail. During the execution phase, the group is trained to respond, thus executing the plan in its entirety:
- Notification / Alert Phase; Tactical Alert Call Tree System (TACTS) Initiated.
- Wide Area Communications Network Implemented.
- Advance Elements move towards critical over-watch areas.
- Security Group moves toward Rally Point to secure it, and await arrival of group members.
- Team Leaders insure that group members are moving towards the Rally Point. Communicates with Command Group.
- Over-Watch elements communicate route delays, obstructions, and other critical information as team members move through their respective positions. Communicates continuous updates with Command Group.
- Over-Watch position moves to Rally Point when all members have moved through the check-point / over-watch area.
- Command Group and Members conduct roll-call, determine missing member’s status; and weigh the risk involved in sending a rescue team to extract/evacuate missing members.
- Entire Group maintains defensive perimeter to secure Rally Point.
Phase Two Of Execution:
- Scout deployed forward of team prior to departure from Rally Point.
- Stay-Behind Guard maintains perimeter after group departs the Rally Point, then deploys as Rear Guard during movement to Safe Area.
- Movement/Departure from Rally Point to Safe Area initiated.
- security Protocols established and executed while in route to Safe Area.
- Command Group receives continuous updates from scouts and rear guard, as well as Shelter-In-Place elements within the affected areas.
- Advance group arrives at Safe Area’ conducts reconnaissance, and communicates same with Command Group; then secures the Safe Area for our arrival.
Survivability Phase:
Each person within the group has several duties. They are expected to perform their primary duty such as Medic, Construction, Cooks, etc.; and then also serve as rotating guard throughout the deployment at the Safe Area. They may also be called upon to conduct security patrols within the areas around the Safe Area; or execute foraging or reconnaissance operations when necessary.
Sustainability Phase:
Once the crisis or event has progressed to more reasonable levels of accepted risk; then all efforts are turned towards Long Term sustainment of the group and its members. This could included establishing alternative power, sanitation, water filtration, communications, and other factors necessary for the continuity of the group.
Primitive survival skills, agricultural skills, and other skills and duties that provide for the groups ability to sustain ourselves are then implemented.
The Survival Star is a easy tool that almost anyone can use in order to make their own survival plans. Each point of the star represent a critical area that cannot be discounted or overcome. All six points of the star work together in order to insure that the plan works.
Consider each point of the star, and what it means to your own survival plan, as well as the execution of the plan.
The Survival Star can be used for both the Evacuation (Bug Out) Phase, or upon arrival at the Safe Area when some of the risk has diminished to acceptable levels.
I will not give away our operational plans and strategies, but what you are seeing is a condensed version of “one of many” of our tactical plans. These plans have been rehearsed over and over until it becomes an automatic and conditioned response.
I formulated these plans, worked out the details, and then approach the group with these plans. Each detail was discussed and argued, until we ALL reached the consensus that we were comfortable with our plans. It’s not based on what I want, or what I demand—it’s based on the simple premise that everyone within our group has a part to play in these plans, and thus; a say in how they go down when SHTF. Anything less would be tyrannical and dictatorial—and that just doesn’t work for me…
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